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Bingoloid

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Posts posted by Bingoloid


  1. I have to say, this is really coming as a disappointing surprise. Chinese engineering is usually built to last and 2020 had been smooth sailing up to now.

    EDIT: Yeah, this is no joke. More rains apparently still moving in. Might witness a great disturbance in the Force ("millions of voices suddenly cried out in terror and were suddenly silenced") if you stare at this long enough:

     


  2. 7 hours ago, M_Sable said:

    Why should 90% of a campaign's resources go into winning 10 states and ignoring the rest?  Neither President Trump nor ex-VP Biden will spend any time in NY State, as they know the outcome already.

    We might disagree in a few places here, but I think we're aiming at the same objective. It's the same game theory concept as an arms race, or the reason the supermarkets in a town are usually all 24-hour or none of them are. Once one state figured out they could make the entire state's delegates vote for the more influential party and control the election, every state had to do it to preserve their influence. The Framers trusted the people of the states to duplicate a representative and republican form of government, and when we realized some states weren't able to do that, the 14th Amendment was the result. We've never really dealt with this other problem.

    People always float the argument that its about farm states, but the largest farm state - by far - is sunny California, where farm votes don't matter and their problems aren't the same as Iowa. Populist Republicans have figured out, too, that they can literally drive Texas farmers to suicide to win Pennsylvania and it won't change a thing about Texas. The Democrats have no incentive to intervene and try to represent them. (This is not theoretical, it's real: https://www.texasobserver.org/congress-farmer-suicides-epidemic/)

    Republicans get sold a scare-tactic that it would mean we'd lose the edge it gives us in the Electoral College, but the truth is that both parties would have to modify their positions slightly to meet somewhere in the new middle and be relevant. As with everything else in government, the real issue is that campaigning nationwide looks too much like hard work.


  3. 9 minutes ago, PeteMoss said:

    There is only 1 end in sight.  CW II 

    I think what's about to happen will surprise everyone. The reshuffling of positions right now is as dramatic as it was in the 1960s when the Republicans adopted the Southern Strategy, something which the active conservative base is rapidly repudiating in the present climate and identifying more strongly with the party's founding. Prominent moderate Democrats can't even figure out who their constituency actually is at this point, and Biden is trying to triangulate Trump on populist economic policy.

    By 2024, I'd say it's a coin-toss whether or not the parties will even be recognizable. We haven't seen yet what the epidemic is going to do to the politics of the reddish-purple states like Arizona and Florida, either.


  4. I'm just reading this now. The laundry list of new laws he wants is dangerously deranged and should anger any small government conservative. Harder is one of the "few bad apples", and for him to demand a stack of new felonies that would enable him to organize retaliation against people like Solak is impressive chutzpah. There are a lot of reforms that are needed - in both directions - but these are mostly not those.

    Obviously, if he's able to speak about these supposed events publicly, he's acknowledging that protecting their secrecy is not vital to an ongoing investigation. Someone should file a FOIL request for his records related to the incidents he was describing.

    ...while they still can, I guess. Pretty soon he'll be agitating for Felony FOILing.


  5.  

    16 hours ago, M_Sable said:

    The Electoral College completely disregards the Framer's idea of "one man, one vote...now one person".

    Why even bother to vote in NY for the Republican presidential candidate?

    The reasons for the Electoral College is another can of worms, but the vision for it, where we'd elect temperate local people who hadn't made a career out of the government to get together and deliberate the Presidency on our behalf, is sound. Many of the first Presidential elections didn't even have the candidates' names on the ballot, just the local people you were sending. We've since dissolved nearly everything about the institution that made it work as intended. Conceivably, we could agree to reform this to bring it closer to the people and closer to the Framers at the same time, without a Constitutional amendment.

    Either way, we already have a major political body that massively over-weights the least populous states. 1/3 of the Senate represents less than 10% of the country's people. Arguments about the Winner-Take-All system being part of the Framers' vision to protect the interests of small states is a hoax. The Framers did not devise the Electoral College for that purpose, the Framers did not devise Winner-Take-All at all, and Winner-Take-All does not do this in practice. It pushes both parties to distorted positions that represent a few swing states to the exclusion of everyone else.

    Very close to yelling about dual sovereignty and monarchists at this point, so will stop there.

    11 hours ago, PeteMoss said:

    It matters to me.

    Fair enough, BUT...

    team1.gif


  6. On 7/13/2020 at 3:37 PM, PeteMoss said:

    So what if the Infection Rate is at 7%.  Sounds like Cuomo's math is off.

    I assume what they're saying is that nothing changes at that point.

    IE, if you get under 5%, you can open and we expect a spike but won't make you close again until 9%. If you close at 9%, you can't reopen until things calm back down to below 5%.


  7. On the topic, I won't speculate on his identity, but I recall several instances where he either went on the attack against alleged crime victims based on nothing or tried to weigh in on a historical event and accidentally revealed that he didn't have even a basic understanding of what he was talking about.

    Whoever "Roderick" is, he's not a serious person, and I assume he's working some kind of grift. He mostly just comes across to me as confused.


  8. 17 hours ago, PeteMoss said:

    But what happens in NYS is irrelevant.  All of our Electoral Votes will go to the dem. 

    ^ Few talk about this.

    People always talk about the Electoral College and the Winner-Take-All system as if they're the same thing. The Winner-Take-All system was concocted by the states later, and some of the surviving Framers were enraged and considered it blatant corruption. The real effect isn't to give weight to smaller states, but instead, to make all but a few states completely irrelevant. A study of 2016 found that about 90% of campaign events were held in just ten states, and twenty-five states had none at all, including the nine smallest.

    If we insisted on free voting in the Electoral College, as the Framers intended, places like upstate New York would get a lot more attention.


  9. Working on a poem.

     

    Amidst the riots and pox

    we knew not what the future would bring

    but it was 2022, the year

    when George Phillips ran again

     

    The bombs had fallen

    we could not find food for our children

    but we knew 2036 was still the year

    when George Phillips ran again

     

    Charlton Heston returned to Earth

    and found that orangutans ruled the world

    in the year of our Lord 3978

    when George Phillips ran again


  10. I checked on his profile the other day and it said he had logged in May 20th, so I figured he was probably OK and just taking a break. I've been there, too.

    I'm sure he has a couple of interesting things to say about the present state of affairs given his prior posts on police unions and law enforcement excesses.


  11. 10 hours ago, 92CorruptCourtStreet said:

    You are right, they have medics on corners to care for their people and to pull them out of harms way. Also, they pay to bus their ppl in and set up stations of bricks around the city so yes they are cordinated to some effect. With Trump labeling them as a terrorist group, there is a greater chance the government can charge George soros with a financier charge if they have enough evidence 

    I don't want to make more of them than they are. They're mostly just stupid kids playing wannabe radical, and I saw a video today of one of their "medics" in action. Kid who got hit with a rubber bullet and was barely bleeding, in meltdown mode that she was going to lose her leg. You can tell she was from the 'burbs and has never gotten hurt before. More likely to lose that leg to the half-assed tourniquet the "medic" was applying.

    Still, even a completely useless person, it doesn't take much money to do some harm. Good cross-section of the looters in Austin, the people I'm in touch with there leave at sunset, as do a lot of other protesters, because they don't want to be around these people:

    The scenes playing out across the country are more complicated, and vary more from city to city, than CNN would have you think.


  12. 10 hours ago, M_Sable said:

    Describing "Antifa" as an organization is a bit of an oxymoron....organized anarchists?

    We could talk about the inanity of that all day, and ultimately, I think there's a grain of truth to horseshoe theory, not to mention Blair's Law. It doesn't really matter if they're white supremacist shills or anarchists, they're still just idiots.

    I understand where you're going about there being no hierarchical organization, a lot of the rhetoric about this is just hysteria. However, those groups do coordinate with each other to share tactical playbooks and schedule events. A surprising number of folks getting themselves arrested acting out are clearly just washed-up old hippies having their last go at this.


  13. 1 hour ago, DanCooper said:

    Allow me to be more clear on the prior statement: My point was BLM wants media to show images of white folks in their daytime peaceful gatherings to later say these (white) people returned later to cause violence and loot, to strike fear in BLM. That’s all.

    ANTIFA (terrorist group) is known to be mostly white. Connect the dots as you will.
    Moreover, Bing, I’m willing to wager these three young men are not knights of the KKK or any other white supremacist group.  If I’m right than Livingston is wrong. 

     

    I didn't see Livingston say anything about them being white supremacists or anything of the kind, Dan. If I missed it, so be it, but all I saw was that he said the playground was retaliated against because it was the site of the protest - which is the rumor, that the arsonists were angry that they had been sent away and burned the playground for revenge.

    As for the rest of it, if you were active in politics during the run-up to the Iraq War, you likely remember the ANSWER Coalition, which was quietly a front group for activists from the Workers World Party, a splinter faction that left the Socialist Workers Party years earlier because it wasn't pro-Soviet enough for them.

    Each protest attracted so-called "black bloc" groups, overwhelmingly white anarchists who identified with the WWP's laundry list of issues, who would trash neighborhoods across the country. They teach each other riot tactics in advance and arrive prepared with gloves, helmets, etc., and try to convince others to get violent with them. Their theory was that the "revolution" would come about if they could lure in enough mainstream people and radicalize them.

    "Antifa" is the same people in their current organizational incarnation. I've seen very little support for the narrative that there are white supremacist agitators in any significant numbers, but it's a fact - and I'm hearing this from black Republican friends on the ground in Austin who have been dealing with it firsthand - that chasing anarchists off has been a central activity for organizers and it's something that police and protest organizers are trying to work together on to the extent possible.

     


  14. 48 minutes ago, DanCooper said:

    Hearing rumor of three white males being taken into custody.

    What I've been hearing throughout the day is that the suspects were known as soon as it happened.

    Supposedly, several young people were forcibly blocked from joining the protest yesterday because they were only coming to cause problems and didn't take it well.

    Supposedly, several young people who fit their description were seen leaving the scene of the fire last night.

    Makes sense, given what Zikuski and Korchak said implied they already knew exactly what had happened. This is also likely what Dan Livingston was referring to about it being retaliation against the protest.

    We'll see.


  15. 3 hours ago, DanCooper said:

    Dan Livingston is now advancing the cover story of angry whites burnt it down - because of the peaceful gathering earlier in the day. There you have it!

    Just my two cents: nobody should be jumping to conclusions one way or another.

    This is just an odd target for protesters. Much of the vandalism and looting elsewhere is being done by white anarchists from the left, but they usually go after obvious symbols of capitalism like Starbucks. There's little reason black rioters would care about creeping into the park at night. Kids run their mouths but have poor follow-through. In recent years, we've seen race hoaxes carried out by not only PLOT, but by a local firefighter who was willing to torch his own house with his family inside to blame BLM for something. The playground has also always been a heated topic because of who was involved and last night was a good night to settle a beef.

    We should all be smart enough as a community to realize how many times we've had our chains jerked. This smells weird, so I'm going to hang back and see how it plays out.


  16. 1 hour ago, Wilfrid Laurier said:

    I’m not saying he will walk. I am saying that a good defense attorney could get him off on the Murder 3 if they are able to cast doubt as to the cause of death.

    I see a Manslaughter conviction on the horizon. 

    Anything could happen, for sure. IMO, the facts are there for a strong prosecutor, but you're right. It only takes one clown on the jury to make a circus.

    5 hours ago, ginger said:

    Here's what I think...this isn't the first time that officer pulled that positional asphyxiation maneuver. I bet he's done it dozens of times. On the radio tonight everyone is saying George Floyd was in the wrong place at the wrong time. I bet the officer has been playing russian roulette for years and oops, this time he killed somebody.  

    There's a lot I could say about this, but I do feel sorry for Officer Lane. He was seemingly a rookie on his probationary period, who tried to talk sense to a superior three different ways, but ultimately deferred to his judgment. Now the whole neighborhood's on fire and he may as well have been a soldier at the Boston Massacre. That is a pretty high dose of real life at that age.

    tenor.gif


  17. 56 minutes ago, Wilfrid Laurier said:

    Oh?

    https://www.news4jax.com/news/national/2020/05/30/complaint-autopsy-reveals-nothing-to-support-strangulation-as-cause-of-george-floyds-death/

    It seems this is about to get interesting. And not in a good way. People will start losing their shit if science isn’t able to prove that officer caused his death.

    Article seems to be missing something. Ctrl+F "positional" and got nothing.

    Strangulation (cutting off the flow of blood) leaves clear physical signs, asphyxia (not getting oxygen to your blood) often does not. It's common for other evidence, rather than the autopsy, to end up proving it. What they're charging Chauvin over is what's called "positional asphyxia", rather than strangulation by the knee.

    Positional asphyxia is well-known to law enforcement, and as the complaint notes, part of training. Leaving someone face-down in handcuffs can kill them, because if you can't use your arms to adjust your body, you may not be able to expand your chest to get a full breath of air and basically crush yourself to death. It's worse if three grown men are crushing you and preventing you from moving any part of your body.

    According to the complaint, one of the officers off-camera twice warns Chauvin that they need to get Floyd up on his side, and Chauvin refuses. At some point, one of them does check and tells Chauvin that Floyd has no pulse. Chauvin, rather than attempting CPR or even simply getting him up on his side, does nothing and then knowingly holds down a dead guy for two more minutes, maybe in Weekend At Bernie's fashion hoping the witnesses don't realize he's killed him.

    He's pretty boned.


  18. https://www.revisor.mn.gov/statutes/cite/609.195

    Minnesota Third-Degree Murder does not require proof of intent, only "perpetrating an act eminently dangerous to others and evincing a depraved mind, without regard for human life".

    Chauvin seems to visibly increase the pressure on Floyd's neck at times even after he loses consciousness. Among others, a woman who twice identifies herself as a Minneapolis firefighter pleads with him to check for a pulse, which all four officers ignore. He will have received professional training on positional asphyxia as well as the Minneapolis Police Department's guidelines on the use of force, which is compelling evidence of actual knowledge that what he was doing was dangerous to human life and that he was not authorized to do this in a law enforcement capacity.

    His depraved state of mind is further evidenced by the fact that he's actually taunting Floyd as he dies by giving him orders that he's physically restraining him from complying with. I can imagine the remarks on that one at sentencing already. A grown man playing "Quit Hitting Yourself...To Death".


  19. 4 hours ago, 2pelo Honey said:

    I’m sure you found more than I saw, which was bad enough.

    Everyone involved in this needs a lawyer and a therapist. She seems like she in a lot of difficulty, emotionally, but all the intimidating, self-important, batshit crazy messages she says she's received from Tarik make it pretty clear he's a very sad and lonely little dude.

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    tenor.gif

    Homeboy's on track to show up at her house with a dozen dead roses, a roll of duct tape, and 137 stolen absentee ballots.

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