Jump to content
Sign in to follow this  
BinghamtonBill

BCVoice Poll: Biden or Trump?

BCVoice Poll: Biden or Trump?  

83 members have voted

  1. 1. For President: Biden or Trump?

    • Biden
      36
    • Trump
      47


Recommended Posts

4 hours ago, binghamtonian said:

Rasmussen is about as accurate as Survey Monkey is. Rasmussen always leans right, Survey Monkey always leans left. Neither are reliable.

So did Rasmussen lean right when they had Biden in the lead?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 hours ago, PeteMoss said:

So did Rasmussen lean right when they had Biden in the lead?

When was that because in their September and August polls Trump was in the lead as well, September had him by the same lead, 1%

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, binghamtonian said:

When was that because in their September and August polls Trump was in the lead as well, September had him by the same lead, 1%

Rasmussen has Biden up today.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, DanCooper said:

Rasmussen has Biden up today.

Rasmussen said yesterday that they will be releasing daily updates until Election Day. There other polls for national leads were monthly until yesterday.

Still, that's a national lead, look at some of their state polls. The presidential election doesn't matter on national results, it's the state ones that matter. Remember, the last 2 Republican Presidents were elected while losing the popular vote.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, binghamtonian said:

Rasmussen said yesterday that they will be releasing daily updates until Election Day. There other polls for national leads were monthly until yesterday.

Still, that's a national lead, look at some of their state polls. The presidential election doesn't matter on national results, it's the state ones that matter. Remember, the last 2 Republican Presidents were elected while losing the popular vote.

Trending much like 2016.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I have more in common with a black conservative than a white liberal. Separating colors is for laundry, not people.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Watching from Kenosha right now...all of his kids are there, dressed for the weather. Where is Hunter?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
16 hours ago, Mr. Met said:

 

LeBron built a school for kids and still pours money into it. Trump and his family stole money from a cancer charity for kids, now they can't run charities in NY.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
44 minutes ago, binghamtonian said:

LeBron built a school for kids and still pours money into it. Trump and his family stole money from a cancer charity for kids, now they can't run charities in NY.

More FAKE NEWS.  You can really spill the BS.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

A naive projection based on what I was able to quickly scrape out of the available data, without doing a lot of digging about absentees, etc.

- I don't see any major pool of outstanding votes in Wisconsin. Supposedly, they're still counting absentees, which likely lean Democratic, so I'd expect Biden to keep the state.

- Trump is leading in Michigan by 30,000, but if the ratio in Wayne County (Detroit) holds, it will deliver at least another net 100,000 for Biden.

- Trump will likely hold Pennsylvania. There are many red-leaning counties that aren't fully reported and his lead is substantial, it will be difficult for Philadelphia to overcome that.

- Much like Wisconsin, North Carolina seems like it's mostly reported, I'd expect Trump to keep it.

- Alaska, Nevada, and Maine's split EC shouldn't surprise anyone.

This gets us to 259/252 Biden. In this scenario, Trump would need both Georgia and Arizona. I tend to think he's losing Arizona, which would give Biden exactly 270. It will be close.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, Bingoloid said:

A naive projection based on what I was able to quickly scrape out of the available data, without doing a lot of digging about absentees, etc.

- I don't see any major pool of outstanding votes in Wisconsin. Supposedly, they're still counting absentees, which likely lean Democratic, so I'd expect Biden to keep the state.

- Trump is leading in Michigan by 30,000, but if the ratio in Wayne County (Detroit) holds, it will deliver at least another net 100,000 for Biden.

- Trump will likely hold Pennsylvania. There are many red-leaning counties that aren't fully reported and his lead is substantial, it will be difficult for Philadelphia to overcome that.

- Much like Wisconsin, North Carolina seems like it's mostly reported, I'd expect Trump to keep it.

- Alaska, Nevada, and Maine's split EC shouldn't surprise anyone.

This gets us to 259/252 Biden. In this scenario, Trump would need both Georgia and Arizona. I tend to think he's losing Arizona, which would give Biden exactly 270. It will be close.

I’ve been tinkering myself. This and $1 will buy you a cup of coffee:

Give Biden Arizona and Maine and that gives him 238. Trump wins Alaska, Georgia, North Carolina and PA. That gives him 267.

Trump - 267

Biden - 238

That leaves Michigan (16), Wisconsin (10) and Nevada (6). Trump just has to win just one of these to give him 270. Biden has to win all three. Trump has the Supreme Court. Trump Wins! 
 

Gonna be a shit show of epic proportions. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I was up at 5 am, went back to bed when I saw FOX was still playing numbers games. I think Trump owns all of the remaining states and they know it, they just don't want to admit it's a landslide.

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
Sign in to follow this  

×